Who said 13 was a lucky number? Week 13 was definitely not unlucky for me. It wasn’t quite the triple crown hit I wanted, but it was close.
I went 10-5 in my ATS expert picks, 11-3-1 straight, and 3-3 with my best bets as part of the Pick Six podcast. This improves my records to 92-95-8 ATS, 111-77-1 straight and 44-30-3 with my best bets.
So overall it was a good week. Let’s go on.
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. (Amazon Prime Video)
Featured game | Los Angeles Rams vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders have won three straight games to get back into the playoff mix. Derek Carr and Davante Adams will be a big deal for the Rams. Josh Jacobs also handles it well. The Rams played hard last week, but they’re understaffed with all the injuries. The Raiders keep rolling, even on the road for a short week.
Take: Raiders 26, Rams 16
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
Featured game | Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets
The Jets are playing back-to-back road games, while the Bills are rested after playing last Thursday. Bad combination. The Bills also look like they’re starting up on offense again. The Jets’ defense is good, but didn’t look as good last week. Buffalo wins behind Josh Allen as Jets quarterback Mike White can’t keep up.
Take: Bills 29, Jets 13
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
Featured game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens
Kenny Picket is 3-1 in his last four starts for the Steelers as they make a bit of a late-season push. The Ravens had offensive issues with Lamar Jackson, and now he’s out. That means it’s time for Tyler Huntley at quarterback. The Steelers defense is playing better, so it’s not good for the Ravens.
Take: Steelers 24, Ravens 13
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
Featured game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns
Joe Burrow has never beaten the Browns, which will make that a challenge. But the Bengals are playing well. The Browns got Deshaun Watson back, but he was terrible against the Texans. The Bengals and Burrow will continue to roll. The Bengals take it.
Take: Bengals 28, Browns 23
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)
Featured game | Dallas Cowboys vs. Houston Texans
The Cowboys play good football, unlike the Texans. Dallas has to watch out for a disappointment here, but I don’t think that will happen. Their defense will be the dominant part of this game. They will win big behind. Dak Prescott is also playing well.
Take: Cowboys 33, Texans 10
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)
Featured game | Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings
It’s actually a good game with both teams having impressive wins last week. The Vikings are a shoo-in to win the division, but the Lions are alive for a wildcard spot. The Lions offense will pose big problems for a Vikings defense that hasn’t played so well. The Lions win behind Jared Goff.
Take: Lions 31, Vikings 28
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)
Featured game | New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles
It’s a big game for the Giants in the playoff race, a game sandwiched between two with Washington. They need this game more than the Eagles, but the Eagles are flying high on offense. It’s going to be a big challenge for the Giants, but I think they’ll lag in this one.
Take: Eagles 27, Giants 24
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
Featured game | Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Titans have dominated the Jaguars in their history, especially the last 10 years. Both teams have just suffered terrible losses on the road and now the Jaguars are back on the road. The Titans will do what they always do to the Jaguars, which is let Derrick Henry go wild. The titans take it over.
Take: Titans 30, Jaguars 21
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
Featured game | Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs are coming off a tough loss to the Bengals and they’re playing their second straight game on the road. Big deal. Denver’s offense is terrible. Denver’s defense is good, but it won’t slow down Patrick Mahomes. Expect the Chiefs to get back on track, especially after losing last week.
Take: Chiefs 27, Broncos 13
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)
Featured game | Seattle Seahawks vs. Carolina Panthers
Geno Smith is playing exceptional football for the Seahawks, who would be in the playoffs if they started now. The Panthers have a bye, but they’re playing for nothing. It’s a long journey for an unmotivated team. The Seahawks will win it behind Smith.
Take: Seahawks 31, Panthers 17
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)
Featured game | San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs made an incredible fourth quarter comeback on Monday night to beat the Saints, but the offense struggled for most of the game. That’s never a good thing against the 49ers defense. The 49ers will start Brock Purdy at quarterback, but he will play well. The 49ers take it.
Take: 49ers 26, Bucs 17
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, FuboTV)
Featured game | Los Angeles Chargers vs. Miami Dolphins
Here’s Tua Tagovailoa vs. Justin Herbert in a 2020 first-round pick battle. Tagovailoa didn’t play well last week and he got a little banged up. The Chargers need the game more and should be able to move it against the Miami defense. Herbert gets the better of Tua as the field passing game finally explodes for the Chargers.
Take: Chargers 33, Dolphins 28
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, FuboTV)
Featured game | Arizona Cardinals vs. New England Patriots
The Cardinals are coming off a bye, while the Patriots are coming off a terrible showing last Thursday against the Bills. The offense was lifeless. That will change here. They will move the ball against the Arizona defense and limit Kyler Murray. The Patriots win it.
Take: Patriots 24, Cardinals 21
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