The college football playoff semifinals will take place with the Fiesta Bowl and Peach Bowl on Dec. 31, but there will still be several intriguing non-playoff bowl games on the 2022-23 college football bowl schedule after that. No. 8 Utah will look to build on its win in the Pac-12 title game when it takes on No. 11 Penn State in the Rose Bowl on Jan. 2. The Utes have won six of their last seven games, including their 47-24 win over USC in the conference title game, and are 3-point favorites in the latest college football odds at Caesars Sportsbook. It’s one of the smallest gaps in the 2022-23 bowling season, so where should you place the Rose Bowl in your college football trust pools?
In fact, three of the four games on Jan. 2 are priced at -3 or lower in the college football lines, creating some tricky decisions in the college football trust groups. Having a solid confidence strategy in the college football bowl can be the difference between winning and losing this bowl season. Before making any college football predictions for the bowling season, be sure to check out the bowl confidence pool picks from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an astonishing profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top college football picks against the spread. Everyone who followed him saw huge returns.
Now, he has simulated every game on the 2022-23 college football schedule 10,000 times and assigned a confidence rating to every game. You can only see all college football picks on SportsLine.
Best confidence predictions for college football
One of the most trusted picks in the model’s 2022-23 college football bowl: Ole Miss crosses past Texas Tech in the 2022 Texas Bowl on Dec. 28 at 9 p.m. ET. The Rebels have lost four of their last five games during the regular season, but all four losses have come against ranked teams at some point this year. They still finished the season with eight wins and have one of the best offenses in college football under head coach Lane Kiffin.
Sophomore quarterback Jaxson Dart threw for over 2,600 yards and 18 touchdowns, while freshman running back Quinshon Judkins rushed for 1,476 yards and 16 scores. The model expects Judkins to have another great day against a lackluster Texas Tech defense as he rushes over 100 yards and at least a touchdown in the latest simulations. Running back Zach Evans and Dart combine for another 120 rushing yards, which is one of the reasons Ole Miss wins outright more than 70% of the time.
Another of the bowl confidence predictions the model is high on: LSU No. 17 handles Purdue in the Citrus Bowl on Jan. 2 at 1 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook opened LSU as a 7-point favorite, but early betting action quickly pushed the line down to -10.5. The Tigers have lost a pair of games in the streak this season, but they’ve also had wins over the era. 7 Ole Miss and then-No. 6 Alabama in consecutive games. They will be motivated to finish Brian Kelly’s first year as head coach strong, while Purdue is in the midst of a coaching change.
Head coach Jeff Brohm left Purdue for Louisville, leaving offensive coordinator Brian Brohm as interim coach in that game. Cohesion is one of the most important factors in handicap bowl games, and Purdue will be lacking in that category when it takes on LSU. The pattern allows the Tigers to win nearly 70% of the time, making it one of the top picks in the 2022-23 bowling season.
How to Make Trusted College Football Picks
The model also made the call on who wins all other bowl games. There are 17 teams that win at least 65% of the time, so you need to aim big in these matchups, as well as several underdogs that win outright. You can get all model choices on SportsLine.
So who wins every college football game? And which matchups should you award the most trust points to? Visit SportsLine to see all of college football’s trusted picks, all from the model that rose nearly $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks over the past season of more than six years, and find out.
2022-23 College Football Bowl Schedule (all times ET)
Friday, December 16
Bahamas Bowl: Miami, Ohio vs. UAB, 11:30 a.m.
Cure Bowl: No. 24 Troy vs. No. 25 UTSA, 3 p.m.
Saturday December 17
Fenway Bowl: Cincinnati vs. Louisville, 11 a.m.
Celebration Bowl Jackson State vs. NC Central, noon
Las Vegas Bowl: 14th Oregon State vs. Florida, 2:30 p.m.
LA Bowl: Washington State vs. Fresno State, 3:30 p.m.
LendingTree Bowl: Rice vs. Southern Mississippi, 5:45 p.m. ET
New Mexico Bowl: SMU vs. BYU, 7:30 p.m.
Frisco Bowl: Boise State vs. North Texas, 9:15 p.m.
Monday, December 19
Myrtle Beach Bowl: Marshall vs. UConn, 2:30 p.m.
Tuesday, December 20
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl: Eastern Michigan vs. San Jose State, 3:30 p.m.
Boca Raton Bowl: Liberty vs. Toledo, 7:30 p.m.
Wednesday, December 21
New Orleans Bowl: South Alabama vs. Western Kentucky, 9 p.m.
Thursday, December 22
Armed Forces Bowl: Baylor vs. Air Force, 7:30 p.m.
Friday, December 23
Independence Bowl: Houston vs. Louisiana, 3 p.m.
Gasparilla Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Missouri, 6:30 p.m.
Saturday December 24
Hawai’i Bowl: Middle Tennessee State vs. San Diego State, 8 p.m.
Monday, December 26
Quick Lane Bowl: Bowling Green vs. New Mexico State, 2:30 p.m.
Tuesday, December 27
Camellia Bowl: Buffalo vs. Georgia Southern, noon
First Responder Bowl: Memphis vs. Utah State, 3:15 p.m.
Birmingham Bowl: Coastal Carolina vs. East Carolina, 6:45 p.m.
Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Wisconsin, 10:15 p.m.
Wednesday, December 28
Military Bowl: Duke vs. UCF, 2 p.m.
Liberty Bowl: Arkansas vs. Kansas, 5:30 p.m.
Holiday Bowl: No. 15 Oregon vs. North Carolina, 8 p.m.
Texas Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss, 9 p.m.
Thursday, December 29
Pinstripe Bowl: Minnesota vs. Syracuse, 2 p.m.
Cheez-It Bowl, No. 13 Florida State vs. Oklahoma, 5:30 p.m.
Alamo Bowl: No. 12 Washington vs. No. 20 Texas, 9 p.m.
Friday, December 30
Duke’s Mayo Bowl: No. 23 NC State vs. Maryland, noon
Sun Bowl: No. 18 UCLA vs. Pitt, 2 p.m. ET
Gator Bowl: No. 19 South Carolina vs. No. 21 Notre Dame, 3:30 p.m.
Arizona Bowl: Ohio vs. Wyoming, 4:30 p.m.
Orange Bowl: No. 6 Tennessee vs. No. 7 Clemson, 8 p.m.
Saturday December 31
Music City Bowl: Iowa vs. Kentucky, noon
Sugar Bowl: No. 5 Alabama vs. No. 9 Kansas State, noon
Fiesta Bowl (CFP semifinal): No. 2 Michigan vs. No. 3 TCU, 4 p.m.
Peach Bowl (CFP semi-final semifinal): No. 1 Georgia vs. No. 4 Ohio State, 8 p.m.
Monday January 2
ReliaQuest Bowl: No. 22 Mississippi State vs. Illinois, Noon
Citrus Bowl: No. 17 LSU vs. Purdue, 1 p.m.
Cotton Bowl Classic: No. 10 USC vs. No. 16 Tulane, 1 p.m.
Rose Bowl: No. 8 Utah vs. No. 11 Penn State, 5 p.m.
Monday, January 9
College Football Playoff National Championship Game, 7:30 p.m. (Georgia-Ohio State winner vs. Michigan-TCU winner)
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